Crypto Low is “Probably In”, Macro Guru Raoul Pal Says

Macro Guru and Real Vision CEO Raoul Pal is confident that crypto markets have bottomed out and can start looking up again.

Talking to his nearly 1 million followers on Twitter, Pal detailed that bearish sentiment might be taking a backseat as macro conditions are looking to improve:

“Crypto – Is the low in? My view is on balance, probably. 

I also think the macro turn is very close too. Have bond yields topped? Probably.

Returns since the panic 3AC liquidation:

BTC +24%

ETH +71%

SOL +64%

AVAX +77%

DOT +26%

AAVE +116%

UNISWAP +131%

XRP +29%”

Pal also explained that non-fungible tokens (NFTs) on leading smart contract platform Ethereum are surging again:

“NFTs are rising in ETH volumes and floor prices are rising too for good, trusted projects.

Bottoms in crypto are not usually a straight line higher and there is often a big gut check at some point or sideways range for a few months after an initial recovery.

Let’s see…”

Nevertheless, the former Goldman Sachs executive warned that a strengthening U.S. Dollar could still provide some turmoil and effectively add pressure to on-risk assets like cryptocurrencies:

“Dollar Wrecking Ball

This chart concerns me… $/KRW [South Korean won] With the Yen in free fall, the Yuan will follow over time and the Won is not yet priced for it and is a hugely leveraged economy…

Pal added:

Raoul Pal Crypto

“And the ADXY (Asian currency DXY) is VERY close to breaking down. This has got a global dollar crisis written all over it. 

If there is a wild card in all of this economic mess, the dollar is it… on the plus side, it’s HUGELY deflationary if it happens.”

At time of writing, Bitcoin is priced at $22,514 per coin, good for a surge of 12.7% in the last seven days. Ethereum has made huge gains of 44% in the last week and is trading hands at $1,578.80, according to CoinMarketCap data.

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Source: Igaming